Tim Fleming holds a modest edge in trader consensus for the open Georgia secretary of state seat, reflecting the state's recent Republican lean in statewide races and his background as a former Kemp chief of staff with legislative experience on election procedures. Penny Brown Reynolds, the Democratic nominee and former Fulton County judge who served in the Biden administration, has narrowed the gap by emphasizing voting access and office modernization. With both candidates advancing from June runoffs and focusing campaigns on election integrity versus voter protections, the contest remains competitive six weeks before the November 3 general election. Limited polling and Georgia's partisan divides on ballot rules and administration have kept implied probabilities close, with any late shifts in turnout or messaging on fraud prevention and licensing likely to influence final positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Tim Fleming (R)
53%

Penny Brown Reynolds (D)
48%

Tim Fleming (R)
53%

Penny Brown Reynolds (D)
48%
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Tim Fleming holds a modest edge in trader consensus for the open Georgia secretary of state seat, reflecting the state's recent Republican lean in statewide races and his background as a former Kemp chief of staff with legislative experience on election procedures. Penny Brown Reynolds, the Democratic nominee and former Fulton County judge who served in the Biden administration, has narrowed the gap by emphasizing voting access and office modernization. With both candidates advancing from June runoffs and focusing campaigns on election integrity versus voter protections, the contest remains competitive six weeks before the November 3 general election. Limited polling and Georgia's partisan divides on ballot rules and administration have kept implied probabilities close, with any late shifts in turnout or messaging on fraud prevention and licensing likely to influence final positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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