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Tech·Business

GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?

icon for GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
Tech·Business

GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?

Aug 31

Sep 30

Oct 31

Dec 31

Aug 31

Sep 30

Oct 31

Dec 31

$4.50-$5.00 42%

$4.00-$4.50 30%

$3.50-$4.00 19%

<$3.50 14%

Polymarket
NEW

$4.50-$5.00 42%

$4.00-$4.50 30%

$3.50-$4.00 19%

<$3.50 14%

Polymarket
NEW

<$3.50

$568 Vol.

14%

$3.50-$4.00

$219 Vol.

19%

$4.00-$4.50

$2,547 Vol.

30%

$4.50-$5.00

$1,856 Vol.

42%

$5.00-$5.50

$134 Vol.

3%

$5.50+

$229 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Trader consensus favors H200 GPU rental prices landing in the $4.50–$5.00 range by end of October, reflecting balanced supply growth from expanded NVIDIA production and new hyperscale data center deployments against persistent demand for large language model training and inference. Recent capacity additions at major cloud providers have eased earlier shortages, though constraints around power delivery and liquid cooling infrastructure continue to limit broader utilization. Earnings updates and capacity guidance from NVIDIA and leading AI labs over the next two months represent key catalysts that could alter booking patterns and shift these market-implied odds if actual availability diverges from current projections.

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$5,553
End Date
Oct 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Trader consensus favors H200 GPU rental prices landing in the $4.50–$5.00 range by end of October, reflecting balanced supply growth from expanded NVIDIA production and new hyperscale data center deployments against persistent demand for large language model training and inference. Recent capacity additions at major cloud providers have eased earlier shortages, though constraints around power delivery and liquid cooling infrastructure continue to limit broader utilization. Earnings updates and capacity guidance from NVIDIA and leading AI labs over the next two months represent key catalysts that could alter booking patterns and shift these market-implied odds if actual availability diverges from current projections.

This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026.

If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$5,553
End Date
Oct 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://dashboard.ornnai.com/compute

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$4.50-$5.00" at 42%, followed by "$4.00-$4.50" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?" is "$4.50-$5.00" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$4.00-$4.50" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.