Therese Terlaje secured the Democratic nomination in the August 1 primary with a narrow victory over the sitting lieutenant governor, advancing alongside running mate Sabina Perez to face Republican Vicente Ada and Edward Calvo in the November 3 general election. Guam’s recent Democratic dominance in gubernatorial contests, combined with the party’s primary performance and the absence of major late-breaking developments, underpins trader consensus favoring Terlaje at current implied probabilities. Ada’s stronger primary margin offers the Republican ticket a competitive base, yet historical voting patterns and limited polling shifts since the primaries have kept the Democratic nominee ahead in market pricing. A late-August candidate forum highlighted shared priorities on economic issues without altering positioning. The November ballot will resolve the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Therese Terlaje (D)
66%
Vicente Ada (R)
34%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Therese Terlaje (D)
$671 Vol.
66%
Vicente Ada (R)
$415 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Therese Terlaje secured the Democratic nomination in the August 1 primary with a narrow victory over the sitting lieutenant governor, advancing alongside running mate Sabina Perez to face Republican Vicente Ada and Edward Calvo in the November 3 general election. Guam’s recent Democratic dominance in gubernatorial contests, combined with the party’s primary performance and the absence of major late-breaking developments, underpins trader consensus favoring Terlaje at current implied probabilities. Ada’s stronger primary margin offers the Republican ticket a competitive base, yet historical voting patterns and limited polling shifts since the primaries have kept the Democratic nominee ahead in market pricing. A late-August candidate forum highlighted shared priorities on economic issues without altering positioning. The November ballot will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,087End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Therese Terlaje secured the Democratic nomination in the August 1 primary with a narrow victory over the sitting lieutenant governor, advancing alongside running mate Sabina Perez to face Republican Vicente Ada and Edward Calvo in the November 3 general election. Guam’s recent Democratic dominance in gubernatorial contests, combined with the party’s primary performance and the absence of major late-breaking developments, underpins trader consensus favoring Terlaje at current implied probabilities. Ada’s stronger primary margin offers the Republican ticket a competitive base, yet historical voting patterns and limited polling shifts since the primaries have kept the Democratic nominee ahead in market pricing. A late-August candidate forum highlighted shared priorities on economic issues without altering positioning. The November ballot will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$1,087End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Therese Terlaje secured the Democratic nomination in the August 1 primary with a narrow victory over the sitting lieutenant governor, advancing alongside running mate Sabina Perez to face Republican Vicente Ada and Edward Calvo in the November 3 general election. Guam’s recent Democratic dominance in gubernatorial contests, combined with the party’s primary performance and the absence of major late-breaking developments, underpins trader consensus favoring Terlaje at current implied probabilities. Ada’s stronger primary margin offers the Republican ticket a competitive base, yet historical voting patterns and limited polling shifts since the primaries have kept the Democratic nominee ahead in market pricing. A late-August candidate forum highlighted shared priorities on economic issues without altering positioning. The November ballot will resolve the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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