Recent European model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national services points to a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking between 20–23°C on July 5 amid moderate Atlantic flow and limited diurnal heating. Seasonal climatology places average July highs near 21–22°C, providing the baseline that aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around these values. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, plus steering patterns that determine whether warmer southerly air intrudes. High uncertainty stems from typical short-range variability in mid-latitude summer forecasts, with next model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 5?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 5?
21°C 56%
22°C 20%
20°C 19%
23°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 5, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
19%
21°C
56%
22°C
20%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 56%
22°C 20%
20°C 19%
23°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 5, 2026
17°C or below
$56 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$167 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$274 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$199 ปริมาณ
19%
21°C
$348 ปริมาณ
56%
22°C
$375 ปริมาณ
20%
23°C
$142 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$106 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$158 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$62 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C or higher
$58 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national services points to a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking between 20–23°C on July 5 amid moderate Atlantic flow and limited diurnal heating. Seasonal climatology places average July highs near 21–22°C, providing the baseline that aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around these values. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, plus steering patterns that determine whether warmer southerly air intrudes. High uncertainty stems from typical short-range variability in mid-latitude summer forecasts, with next model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,944วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national services points to a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking between 20–23°C on July 5 amid moderate Atlantic flow and limited diurnal heating. Seasonal climatology places average July highs near 21–22°C, providing the baseline that aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around these values. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, plus steering patterns that determine whether warmer southerly air intrudes. High uncertainty stems from typical short-range variability in mid-latitude summer forecasts, with next model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,944วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 3, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model consensus from sources like ECMWF and national services points to a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking between 20–23°C on July 5 amid moderate Atlantic flow and limited diurnal heating. Seasonal climatology places average July highs near 21–22°C, providing the baseline that aligns with the market’s clustered probabilities around these values. Key variables include evolving cloud cover and precipitation timing that could cap or boost peaks by 1–2°C, plus steering patterns that determine whether warmer southerly air intrudes. High uncertainty stems from typical short-range variability in mid-latitude summer forecasts, with next model runs and observational updates expected to refine the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย