Traders assign a 92% implied probability to a 32°C high in Beijing on June 11, reflecting consensus from operational forecasts showing sunny conditions and maximum temperatures near 32°C (90°F). Official model guidance and climatological baselines for early June support this outcome, with typical diurnal ranges and low precipitation risk keeping readings from exceeding the threshold. Minor upward revisions in some ensemble members allow limited probability for 33°C, but persistent high-pressure dominance and stable steering patterns make larger deviations unlikely. Fresh model runs or unexpected afternoon convection could still shift the final observed maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on June 11?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 11?
32°C 80%
33°C 4.0%
34°C 1.0%
31°C <1%
$69,549 Объем
$69,549 Объем
11 июн. 2026 г.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
80%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 80%
33°C 4.0%
34°C 1.0%
31°C <1%
$69,549 Объем
$69,549 Объем
11 июн. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$8,480 Объем
<1%
28°C
$6,849 Объем
<1%
29°C
$8,130 Объем
<1%
30°C
$11,022 Объем
<1%
31°C
$10,489 Объем
<1%
32°C
$6,875 Объем
80%
33°C
$9,881 Объем
4%
34°C
$9,564 Объем
1%
35°C
$5,949 Объем
<1%
36°C
$5,930 Объем
<1%
37°C or higher
$523 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign a 92% implied probability to a 32°C high in Beijing on June 11, reflecting consensus from operational forecasts showing sunny conditions and maximum temperatures near 32°C (90°F). Official model guidance and climatological baselines for early June support this outcome, with typical diurnal ranges and low precipitation risk keeping readings from exceeding the threshold. Minor upward revisions in some ensemble members allow limited probability for 33°C, but persistent high-pressure dominance and stable steering patterns make larger deviations unlikely. Fresh model runs or unexpected afternoon convection could still shift the final observed maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Объем
$69,549Дата окончания
11 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign a 92% implied probability to a 32°C high in Beijing on June 11, reflecting consensus from operational forecasts showing sunny conditions and maximum temperatures near 32°C (90°F). Official model guidance and climatological baselines for early June support this outcome, with typical diurnal ranges and low precipitation risk keeping readings from exceeding the threshold. Minor upward revisions in some ensemble members allow limited probability for 33°C, but persistent high-pressure dominance and stable steering patterns make larger deviations unlikely. Fresh model runs or unexpected afternoon convection could still shift the final observed maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$69,549Дата окончания
11 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 92% implied probability to a 32°C high in Beijing on June 11, reflecting consensus from operational forecasts showing sunny conditions and maximum temperatures near 32°C (90°F). Official model guidance and climatological baselines for early June support this outcome, with typical diurnal ranges and low precipitation risk keeping readings from exceeding the threshold. Minor upward revisions in some ensemble members allow limited probability for 33°C, but persistent high-pressure dominance and stable steering patterns make larger deviations unlikely. Fresh model runs or unexpected afternoon convection could still shift the final observed maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы