Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, including recent daily highs reaching 39°C in Busan on August 1, underpin the strong market consensus favoring a 35°C peak on August 5. Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and regional models show persistent high pressure, clear skies, and daytime temperatures climbing into the mid-30s Celsius amid elevated humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological peaks during peak summer. Trader positioning reflects aggregated assessments of these atmospheric patterns, where modest model consensus around 31–35°C creates limited room for upside surprises. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or afternoon convection could cap the high below this threshold, though current steering patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 5?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 5?
35°C 95%
36°C 5%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$31,643 Vol.
$31,643 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
95%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 95%
36°C 5%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$31,643 Vol.
$31,643 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
$631 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$764 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,841 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$5,820 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$7,052 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,908 Vol.
95%
36°C
$4,472 Vol.
5%
37°C
$2,910 Vol.
1%
38°C
$2,873 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$710 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$662 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, including recent daily highs reaching 39°C in Busan on August 1, underpin the strong market consensus favoring a 35°C peak on August 5. Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and regional models show persistent high pressure, clear skies, and daytime temperatures climbing into the mid-30s Celsius amid elevated humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological peaks during peak summer. Trader positioning reflects aggregated assessments of these atmospheric patterns, where modest model consensus around 31–35°C creates limited room for upside surprises. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or afternoon convection could cap the high below this threshold, though current steering patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$31,643End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, including recent daily highs reaching 39°C in Busan on August 1, underpin the strong market consensus favoring a 35°C peak on August 5. Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and regional models show persistent high pressure, clear skies, and daytime temperatures climbing into the mid-30s Celsius amid elevated humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological peaks during peak summer. Trader positioning reflects aggregated assessments of these atmospheric patterns, where modest model consensus around 31–35°C creates limited room for upside surprises. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or afternoon convection could cap the high below this threshold, though current steering patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,643End Date
Aug 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, including recent daily highs reaching 39°C in Busan on August 1, underpin the strong market consensus favoring a 35°C peak on August 5. Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and regional models show persistent high pressure, clear skies, and daytime temperatures climbing into the mid-30s Celsius amid elevated humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological peaks during peak summer. Trader positioning reflects aggregated assessments of these atmospheric patterns, where modest model consensus around 31–35°C creates limited room for upside surprises. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or afternoon convection could cap the high below this threshold, though current steering patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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