Traders assign the tightest odds to 16–17°C for Cape Town’s June 13 maximum because ensemble guidance from the South African Weather Service and global models places the most likely daytime peak in that narrow band. Mid-winter synoptic patterns feature a mix of Atlantic high pressure and approaching cold fronts that modulate temperatures through variable cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and occasional berg-wind warming; these factors create day-to-day spreads of 2–3°C even within a single model run. Historical June averages hover near 17°C, yet recent early-month observations show maxima fluctuating between 15°C and 19°C under similar frontal influences, sustaining the near-even split between the two leading outcomes. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus SAWS short-range bulletins over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 13?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 13?
17°C 33%
16°C 29%
18°C 13%
15°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 jun 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
13%
16°C
29%
17°C
33%
18°C
15%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
17°C 33%
16°C 29%
18°C 13%
15°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 jun 2026
10°C or below
$1,259 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$10 Vol.
1%
14°C
$40 Vol.
9%
15°C
$0 Vol.
13%
16°C
$34 Vol.
29%
17°C
$30 Vol.
33%
18°C
$12 Vol.
15%
19°C
$36 Vol.
3%
20°C or higher
$30 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the tightest odds to 16–17°C for Cape Town’s June 13 maximum because ensemble guidance from the South African Weather Service and global models places the most likely daytime peak in that narrow band. Mid-winter synoptic patterns feature a mix of Atlantic high pressure and approaching cold fronts that modulate temperatures through variable cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and occasional berg-wind warming; these factors create day-to-day spreads of 2–3°C even within a single model run. Historical June averages hover near 17°C, yet recent early-month observations show maxima fluctuating between 15°C and 19°C under similar frontal influences, sustaining the near-even split between the two leading outcomes. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus SAWS short-range bulletins over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
Volumen
$1,446Fecha de finalización
13 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:25 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the tightest odds to 16–17°C for Cape Town’s June 13 maximum because ensemble guidance from the South African Weather Service and global models places the most likely daytime peak in that narrow band. Mid-winter synoptic patterns feature a mix of Atlantic high pressure and approaching cold fronts that modulate temperatures through variable cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and occasional berg-wind warming; these factors create day-to-day spreads of 2–3°C even within a single model run. Historical June averages hover near 17°C, yet recent early-month observations show maxima fluctuating between 15°C and 19°C under similar frontal influences, sustaining the near-even split between the two leading outcomes. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus SAWS short-range bulletins over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,446Fecha de finalización
13 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 12:25 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the tightest odds to 16–17°C for Cape Town’s June 13 maximum because ensemble guidance from the South African Weather Service and global models places the most likely daytime peak in that narrow band. Mid-winter synoptic patterns feature a mix of Atlantic high pressure and approaching cold fronts that modulate temperatures through variable cloud cover, southeasterly winds, and occasional berg-wind warming; these factors create day-to-day spreads of 2–3°C even within a single model run. Historical June averages hover near 17°C, yet recent early-month observations show maxima fluctuating between 15°C and 19°C under similar frontal influences, sustaining the near-even split between the two leading outcomes. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus SAWS short-range bulletins over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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