Ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF position mid-teens Celsius as the most probable range for Cape Town’s June 28 maximum, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions dominated by Atlantic high-pressure systems and modest diurnal warming. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability ahead of any approaching cold front, consistent with historical June averages near 16–18 °C and the moderating influence of marine air and Table Mountain orography. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C outcomes because these align with current guidance while accounting for the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution; further South African Weather Service updates or refined ensemble shifts could adjust probabilities if a stronger ridge or frontal passage develops.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 28일 케이프타운에서 가장 높은 기온?
6월 28일 케이프타운에서 가장 높은 기온?
15°C 44%
16°C 25%
14°C 22%
17°C 3.5%
신규
신규
2026.06.28
10°C 이하
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
22%
15°C
44%
16°C
25%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C 이상
<1%
15°C 44%
16°C 25%
14°C 22%
17°C 3.5%
신규
신규
2026.06.28
10°C 이하
$564 거래량
<1%
11°C
$346 거래량
<1%
12°C
$168 거래량
1%
13°C
$568 거래량
3%
14°C
$545 거래량
22%
15°C
$800 거래량
44%
16°C
$522 거래량
25%
17°C
$571 거래량
4%
18°C
$183 거래량
1%
19°C
$298 거래량
1%
20°C 이상
$318 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF position mid-teens Celsius as the most probable range for Cape Town’s June 28 maximum, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions dominated by Atlantic high-pressure systems and modest diurnal warming. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability ahead of any approaching cold front, consistent with historical June averages near 16–18 °C and the moderating influence of marine air and Table Mountain orography. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C outcomes because these align with current guidance while accounting for the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution; further South African Weather Service updates or refined ensemble shifts could adjust probabilities if a stronger ridge or frontal passage develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
거래량
$4,883종료일
2026.06.28마켓 개설일
Jun 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF position mid-teens Celsius as the most probable range for Cape Town’s June 28 maximum, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions dominated by Atlantic high-pressure systems and modest diurnal warming. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability ahead of any approaching cold front, consistent with historical June averages near 16–18 °C and the moderating influence of marine air and Table Mountain orography. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C outcomes because these align with current guidance while accounting for the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution; further South African Weather Service updates or refined ensemble shifts could adjust probabilities if a stronger ridge or frontal passage develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$4,883종료일
2026.06.28마켓 개설일
Jun 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF position mid-teens Celsius as the most probable range for Cape Town’s June 28 maximum, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions dominated by Atlantic high-pressure systems and modest diurnal warming. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability ahead of any approaching cold front, consistent with historical June averages near 16–18 °C and the moderating influence of marine air and Table Mountain orography. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C outcomes because these align with current guidance while accounting for the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution; further South African Weather Service updates or refined ensemble shifts could adjust probabilities if a stronger ridge or frontal passage develops.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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