Recent GFS and ECMWF model runs for Cape Town indicate afternoon highs of 23–26°C on October 10 under mostly clear skies and moderate southerly flow, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 25–26°C. Clear conditions and light winds favor efficient daytime heating, while the region’s springtime baseline and Table Mountain’s orographic effects can add 1–2°C variability depending on exact wind direction and sea-breeze timing. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover explain the spread between 24°C and 27°C outcomes. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will likely narrow the range further before resolution.