Recent ensemble forecasts for Chengdu on July 17 show maximum temperatures clustered around 32–34 °C, reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover, monsoon-driven humidity, and potential afternoon convection within the Sichuan Basin. The basin’s topography often traps heat and moisture while steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high modulate daytime peaks; clearer skies could push readings toward 35 °C or higher, whereas scattered showers or thicker cloud decks would cap them near 32 °C. Historical July averages near 30–31 °C provide context, yet interannual variability and urban heat-island effects widen the plausible range, leaving traders assigning roughly equal weight to the leading outcomes until the next high-resolution model updates arrive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 17?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 17?
32°C 18%
34°C 16%
33°C 16%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 17, 2026
29°C or below
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
18%
33°C
16%
34°C
16%
35°C
12%
36°C
11%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 18%
34°C 16%
33°C 16%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 17, 2026
29°C or below
$130 Vol.
3%
30°C
$11 Vol.
6%
31°C
$0 Vol.
13%
32°C
$0 Vol.
18%
33°C
$908 Vol.
16%
34°C
$0 Vol.
16%
35°C
$0 Vol.
12%
36°C
$0 Vol.
11%
37°C
$11 Vol.
1%
38°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Chengdu on July 17 show maximum temperatures clustered around 32–34 °C, reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover, monsoon-driven humidity, and potential afternoon convection within the Sichuan Basin. The basin’s topography often traps heat and moisture while steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high modulate daytime peaks; clearer skies could push readings toward 35 °C or higher, whereas scattered showers or thicker cloud decks would cap them near 32 °C. Historical July averages near 30–31 °C provide context, yet interannual variability and urban heat-island effects widen the plausible range, leaving traders assigning roughly equal weight to the leading outcomes until the next high-resolution model updates arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,167End Date
Jul 17, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Chengdu on July 17 show maximum temperatures clustered around 32–34 °C, reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover, monsoon-driven humidity, and potential afternoon convection within the Sichuan Basin. The basin’s topography often traps heat and moisture while steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high modulate daytime peaks; clearer skies could push readings toward 35 °C or higher, whereas scattered showers or thicker cloud decks would cap them near 32 °C. Historical July averages near 30–31 °C provide context, yet interannual variability and urban heat-island effects widen the plausible range, leaving traders assigning roughly equal weight to the leading outcomes until the next high-resolution model updates arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,167End Date
Jul 17, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts for Chengdu on July 17 show maximum temperatures clustered around 32–34 °C, reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover, monsoon-driven humidity, and potential afternoon convection within the Sichuan Basin. The basin’s topography often traps heat and moisture while steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high modulate daytime peaks; clearer skies could push readings toward 35 °C or higher, whereas scattered showers or thicker cloud decks would cap them near 32 °C. Historical July averages near 30–31 °C provide context, yet interannual variability and urban heat-island effects widen the plausible range, leaving traders assigning roughly equal weight to the leading outcomes until the next high-resolution model updates arrive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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