Recent atmospheric conditions over the Midwest, including persistent cloud cover and a moderating lake breeze from Lake Michigan, have kept daytime heating limited in Chicago, driving trader focus toward the 66–69°F range for the June 17 high at Midway Airport. National Weather Service model guidance shows modest destabilization and variable winds that could allow brief clearing and a late-day temperature bump, yet overall instability remains suppressed compared to seasonal normals near 81°F. This uncertainty between partial sun and lingering moisture explains the tight clustering of probabilities across the mid-60s outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥6月17日的最高溫度?
66-67°F 25%
68-69°F 22%
64-65°F 19.3%
70-71°F 16%
$82,884 交易量
$82,884 交易量
59°F或以下
<1%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
1%
華氏78度或以上
<1%
66-67°F 25%
68-69°F 22%
64-65°F 19.3%
70-71°F 16%
$82,884 交易量
$82,884 交易量
59°F或以下
<1%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
1%
華氏78度或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent atmospheric conditions over the Midwest, including persistent cloud cover and a moderating lake breeze from Lake Michigan, have kept daytime heating limited in Chicago, driving trader focus toward the 66–69°F range for the June 17 high at Midway Airport. National Weather Service model guidance shows modest destabilization and variable winds that could allow brief clearing and a late-day temperature bump, yet overall instability remains suppressed compared to seasonal normals near 81°F. This uncertainty between partial sun and lingering moisture explains the tight clustering of probabilities across the mid-60s outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions