**Forecast models show close agreement on a maximum of 26–27 °C for Chongqing on 11 October, with modest spread arising from variable cloud cover and light precipitation.** Recent runs indicate partly cloudy to overcast conditions that limit surface solar heating while maintaining high humidity and light northeasterly flow typical of the Sichuan basin in early autumn. Historical October maxima average near 24 °C, so the current outlook sits slightly above climatology but remains sensitive to small shifts in timing of any showers or breaks in cloud. Official surface observations from local stations will determine the exact peak; traders appear to weight the balance between radiative warming under clearer intervals and cooling from increased cloudiness or brief rain. New model guidance and updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the implied probabilities before resolution.