Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high in the low-to-mid 80s for Dallas on October 4 after today’s cooler, stormy conditions with highs near 75°F. Northerly winds and partial clearing behind a frontal passage are expected to limit afternoon heating, keeping readings near the October climatological average of roughly 84°F while suppressing stronger warming. Trader consensus clusters on the 80–83°F bins because ensemble spreads and timing differences in cloud cover versus sunshine create genuine uncertainty around the precise peak, with lower or higher outcomes remaining possible if steering winds or residual moisture shift. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning will further refine the range ahead of market resolution.