Recent forecast consensus from regional models highlights peak daytime temperatures in Guangzhou around 36–37°C on August 6, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, including high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover under partly sunny skies, favor the upper end of the range, though scattered showers could moderate readings by reducing afternoon heating. Historical August baselines near 33–35°C provide context, while short-term model spreads on steering patterns and precipitation timing create the observed uncertainty between 35°C and 38°C thresholds. Updated guidance expected overnight will clarify any shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 6?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 6?
37°C 39%
36°C 36%
35°C 13%
38°C 9%
NEW
$20,737 Vol.
NEW
$20,737 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
13%
36°C
36%
37°C
39%
38°C
9%
39°C or higher
2%
37°C 39%
36°C 36%
35°C 13%
38°C 9%
NEW
$20,737 Vol.
NEW
$20,737 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
$395 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$374 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$343 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,027 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$306 Vol.
2%
34°C
$619 Vol.
3%
35°C
$1,048 Vol.
13%
36°C
$10,198 Vol.
36%
37°C
$2,970 Vol.
39%
38°C
$2,089 Vol.
9%
39°C or higher
$1,479 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional models highlights peak daytime temperatures in Guangzhou around 36–37°C on August 6, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, including high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover under partly sunny skies, favor the upper end of the range, though scattered showers could moderate readings by reducing afternoon heating. Historical August baselines near 33–35°C provide context, while short-term model spreads on steering patterns and precipitation timing create the observed uncertainty between 35°C and 38°C thresholds. Updated guidance expected overnight will clarify any shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$20,737End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional models highlights peak daytime temperatures in Guangzhou around 36–37°C on August 6, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, including high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover under partly sunny skies, favor the upper end of the range, though scattered showers could moderate readings by reducing afternoon heating. Historical August baselines near 33–35°C provide context, while short-term model spreads on steering patterns and precipitation timing create the observed uncertainty between 35°C and 38°C thresholds. Updated guidance expected overnight will clarify any shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,737End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from regional models highlights peak daytime temperatures in Guangzhou around 36–37°C on August 6, driving the tight market split between those two outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, including high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover under partly sunny skies, favor the upper end of the range, though scattered showers could moderate readings by reducing afternoon heating. Historical August baselines near 33–35°C provide context, while short-term model spreads on steering patterns and precipitation timing create the observed uncertainty between 35°C and 38°C thresholds. Updated guidance expected overnight will clarify any shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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