Recent official forecasts from the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and regional models project a maximum of 34°C for Guangzhou on October 12 under fine to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, supported by hourly guidance showing afternoon peaks near 32–34°C, underpins the strong market-implied probability for 34°C. Historical October averages near 30°C and a 1988 record of 34.8°C provide context for why traders assign modest weight to 35°C or 33°C outcomes, while stable atmospheric conditions limit odds for wider deviations. Final station observations will determine resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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