Current forecast models from sources such as ECMWF and GFS, alongside National Center for Meteorology guidance, indicate a persistent heat ridge supporting daily maxima near 38–39°C for Jeddah on June 18, consistent with the city’s June climatology of 36–38°C and the seasonal outlook for temperatures 1–1.5°C above normal. Coastal moderation from the Red Sea, combined with high humidity and potential sea-breeze effects, creates tight differentiation between the leading 38°C and 39°C outcomes, while ensemble spread and minor steering variations allow smaller probabilities for 40°C or higher. Traders weigh recent model runs showing limited intensification potential against historical precedent for occasional peaks above 40°C under similar synoptic patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Jeddah on June 18?
39°C 36%
38°C 30%
40°C 16%
41°C or higher 8%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
6%
38°C
30%
39°C
36%
40°C
16%
41°C or higher
8%
39°C 36%
38°C 30%
40°C 16%
41°C or higher 8%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
6%
38°C
30%
39°C
36%
40°C
16%
41°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources such as ECMWF and GFS, alongside National Center for Meteorology guidance, indicate a persistent heat ridge supporting daily maxima near 38–39°C for Jeddah on June 18, consistent with the city’s June climatology of 36–38°C and the seasonal outlook for temperatures 1–1.5°C above normal. Coastal moderation from the Red Sea, combined with high humidity and potential sea-breeze effects, creates tight differentiation between the leading 38°C and 39°C outcomes, while ensemble spread and minor steering variations allow smaller probabilities for 40°C or higher. Traders weigh recent model runs showing limited intensification potential against historical precedent for occasional peaks above 40°C under similar synoptic patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti