**Current forecasts from multiple models position 33–34°C as the most probable range for Kuala Lumpur’s highest temperature on August 29, 2026.** Official guidance and ensemble outputs (including Met Office, Yr, and regional models) indicate daytime maxima near 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30–50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms typical of the southwest monsoon. These conditions align with historical August averages of 32–33°C highs while recent station observations through late August 2026 have frequently reached 33–35°C amid persistent regional haze and suppressed rainfall. The market’s concentration on 34°C (43%) followed by 33°C (26%) reflects trader weighting of these near-term model runs and the limited upside from additional solar heating or the downside from increased cloud cover and precipitation. Upcoming updates from Malaysian Meteorological Department briefings and refined global model cycles over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns or convective activity change.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 29?
34°C 40%
33°C 28%
35°C 19%
31°C 13%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C
28%
34°C
40%
35°C
24%
36°C
7%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 40%
33°C 28%
35°C 19%
31°C 13%
29°C or below
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C
28%
34°C
40%
35°C
24%
36°C
7%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple models position 33–34°C as the most probable range for Kuala Lumpur’s highest temperature on August 29, 2026.** Official guidance and ensemble outputs (including Met Office, Yr, and regional models) indicate daytime maxima near 33–34°C under partly cloudy skies with a 30–50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms typical of the southwest monsoon. These conditions align with historical August averages of 32–33°C highs while recent station observations through late August 2026 have frequently reached 33–35°C amid persistent regional haze and suppressed rainfall. The market’s concentration on 34°C (43%) followed by 33°C (26%) reflects trader weighting of these near-term model runs and the limited upside from additional solar heating or the downside from increased cloud cover and precipitation. Upcoming updates from Malaysian Meteorological Department briefings and refined global model cycles over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns or convective activity change.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions