Recent heavy rainfall across Uttar Pradesh, including over 125 mm in Lucknow through September 26-27, has kept maximum temperatures 5–8°C below normal, with recent highs near 25–27°C. As the monsoon-related system weakens and skies turn partly cloudy with westerly winds, official India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a rebound, with September 29 highs most likely near 31–32°C. This aligns with post-monsoon climatology for the region and positions 31°C as the modal outcome in trader assessments, though lingering moisture could still moderate readings slightly lower. Updated IMD briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.