Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs for Milan on September 26 point to a maximum temperature of 23–24 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure. These conditions align with late-September climatology and produce the market’s dominant implied probabilities of 56 % for 23 °C and 37 % for 24 °C. Minimal diurnal mixing and absence of frontal systems or strong advection keep the range narrow, with only low-probability outliers priced for 22 °C or 25 °C. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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