Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and Open-Meteo runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 19–20°C in Munich on October 3 under mostly cloudy to foggy conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal precipitation. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to clearer skies, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 20–22°C outcomes. Early October climatology shows average highs around 16–17°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth from a lingering mild air mass. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains, particularly regarding fog persistence and afternoon cloud breaks, with updated model cycles and observational data from the next 24–48 hours likely to refine the precise peak.