Recent ensemble forecasts from the GFS and DWD models indicate a maximum temperature near 25°C in Munich on September 28 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. This places the outcome at the center of current trader-implied probabilities, consistent with stable high-pressure conditions supporting moderate daytime heating. The projected high exceeds the 1991–2020 average of 17.6°C but aligns with recent warm September days and remains below the 26°C historical record for the date. Minor model spreads around 24–26°C explain the secondary probabilities for those thresholds, with limited chance of significant deviation before resolution.