Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including LaGuardia and Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature squarely in the 80–81°F range on June 9, locking in the near-certain market outcome. Early June climatology supports this positioning, with average highs typically falling in the upper 70s to low 80s under moderate northwest flow and partial clearing following any frontal passages. Model consensus ahead of the date aligned closely with these conditions, producing minimal spread across guidance and leaving little room for outliers. Scenarios that could have challenged the 80–81°F bin, such as stronger onshore flow or unexpected cloud cover suppressing the high, did not materialize in the final analyses.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 9일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
6월 9일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
80-81°F 99.8%
71°F 이하 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74~75°F <1%
$127,557 거래량
$127,557 거래량
2026.06.09
71°F 이하
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74~75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F 이상
<1%
80-81°F 99.8%
71°F 이하 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74~75°F <1%
$127,557 거래량
$127,557 거래량
2026.06.09
71°F 이하
$898 거래량
<1%
72-73°F
$1,461 거래량
<1%
74~75°F
$3,315 거래량
<1%
76-77°F
$19,269 거래량
<1%
78-79°F
$46,310 거래량
<1%
80-81°F
$21,493 거래량
100%
82-83°F
$15,561 거래량
<1%
84-85°F
$11,981 거래량
<1%
86-87°F
$4,369 거래량
<1%
88-89°F
$2,026 거래량
<1%
90°F 이상
$884 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including LaGuardia and Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature squarely in the 80–81°F range on June 9, locking in the near-certain market outcome. Early June climatology supports this positioning, with average highs typically falling in the upper 70s to low 80s under moderate northwest flow and partial clearing following any frontal passages. Model consensus ahead of the date aligned closely with these conditions, producing minimal spread across guidance and leaving little room for outliers. Scenarios that could have challenged the 80–81°F bin, such as stronger onshore flow or unexpected cloud cover suppressing the high, did not materialize in the final analyses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
거래량
$127,557종료일
2026.06.09마켓 개설일
Jun 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including LaGuardia and Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature squarely in the 80–81°F range on June 9, locking in the near-certain market outcome. Early June climatology supports this positioning, with average highs typically falling in the upper 70s to low 80s under moderate northwest flow and partial clearing following any frontal passages. Model consensus ahead of the date aligned closely with these conditions, producing minimal spread across guidance and leaving little room for outliers. Scenarios that could have challenged the 80–81°F bin, such as stronger onshore flow or unexpected cloud cover suppressing the high, did not materialize in the final analyses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$127,557종료일
2026.06.09마켓 개설일
Jun 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ETOfficial National Weather Service observations from New York City stations, including LaGuardia and Central Park, recorded a daily maximum temperature squarely in the 80–81°F range on June 9, locking in the near-certain market outcome. Early June climatology supports this positioning, with average highs typically falling in the upper 70s to low 80s under moderate northwest flow and partial clearing following any frontal passages. Model consensus ahead of the date aligned closely with these conditions, producing minimal spread across guidance and leaving little room for outliers. Scenarios that could have challenged the 80–81°F bin, such as stronger onshore flow or unexpected cloud cover suppressing the high, did not materialize in the final analyses.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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