The dominant trader consensus around 22°C for Tokyo's highest temperature today stems from the Japan Meteorological Agency's official forecast of a 22°C maximum under persistent cloudy conditions, which limits daytime heating and aligns with early-June climatological norms of 19–26°C. Recent model runs show broad agreement on modest warming potential given the season's typical transition toward the rainy period, though historical averages near 25°C provide context for why traders assign low odds to deviations. Updated surface observations from official stations will finalize resolution, with only substantial unexpected clearing or measurement adjustments likely to shift the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 10일 도쿄에서 가장 높은 기온?
22°C 79%
23°C 18%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$92,724 거래량
$92,724 거래량
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
79%
23°C
18%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 79%
23°C 18%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$92,724 거래량
$92,724 거래량
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
79%
23°C
18%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The dominant trader consensus around 22°C for Tokyo's highest temperature today stems from the Japan Meteorological Agency's official forecast of a 22°C maximum under persistent cloudy conditions, which limits daytime heating and aligns with early-June climatological norms of 19–26°C. Recent model runs show broad agreement on modest warming potential given the season's typical transition toward the rainy period, though historical averages near 25°C provide context for why traders assign low odds to deviations. Updated surface observations from official stations will finalize resolution, with only substantial unexpected clearing or measurement adjustments likely to shift the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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