Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum for Paris on June 12, 2026, reflecting model convergence on limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and a building ridge. These conditions have suppressed the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of June climatology (normally 12–14°C). Official guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicates surface temperatures bottoming out around 17°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, with minimal radiational cooling under moist, stable air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear-sky development enabling greater heat loss or station-specific measurement variations that could shift the recorded low to 16°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 12일 파리에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
6월 12일 파리에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
17°C 100.0%
10°C 이하 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$14,106 거래량
$14,106 거래량
2026.06.12
10°C 이하
아니오
11°C
아니오
12°C
아니오
13°C
아니오
14°C
아니오
15°C
아니오
16°C
아니오
17°C
예
18°C
아니오
19°C
아니오
20°C 이상
아니오
17°C 100.0%
10°C 이하 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$14,106 거래량
$14,106 거래량
2026.06.12
10°C 이하
$857 거래량
아니오
11°C
$1,015 거래량
아니오
12°C
$1,222 거래량
아니오
13°C
$916 거래량
아니오
14°C
$552 거래량
아니오
15°C
$980 거래량
아니오
16°C
$1,850 거래량
아니오
17°C
$2,663 거래량
예
18°C
$2,142 거래량
아니오
19°C
$1,507 거래량
아니오
20°C 이상
$401 거래량
아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum for Paris on June 12, 2026, reflecting model convergence on limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and a building ridge. These conditions have suppressed the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of June climatology (normally 12–14°C). Official guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicates surface temperatures bottoming out around 17°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, with minimal radiational cooling under moist, stable air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear-sky development enabling greater heat loss or station-specific measurement variations that could shift the recorded low to 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
거래량
$14,106종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum for Paris on June 12, 2026, reflecting model convergence on limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and a building ridge. These conditions have suppressed the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of June climatology (normally 12–14°C). Official guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicates surface temperatures bottoming out around 17°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, with minimal radiational cooling under moist, stable air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear-sky development enabling greater heat loss or station-specific measurement variations that could shift the recorded low to 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$14,106종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum for Paris on June 12, 2026, reflecting model convergence on limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and a building ridge. These conditions have suppressed the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of June climatology (normally 12–14°C). Official guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicates surface temperatures bottoming out around 17°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, with minimal radiational cooling under moist, stable air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear-sky development enabling greater heat loss or station-specific measurement variations that could shift the recorded low to 16°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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