Numerical weather models from global ensembles show strong consensus for Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on June 12 settling near 21 °C, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and limited radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance, including recent runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers, clusters tightly between 20–22 °C, aligning with historical June averages for the region and supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % implied probability on the 21 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud cover changes or localized wind shifts alter nocturnal cooling rates, though current observational trends and ensemble spread indicate low likelihood of crossing into adjacent bins before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 12일 상하이에서 최저 기온?
6월 12일 상하이에서 최저 기온?
21°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
16°C 이하 <1%
17°C <1%
$19,518 거래량
$19,518 거래량
2026.06.12
16°C 이하
아니오
17°C
아니오
18°C
아니오
19°C
아니오
20°C
아니오
21°C
예
22°C
아니오
23°C
아니오
24°C
아니오
25°C
아니오
26°C 이상
아니오
21°C 100.0%
20°C <1%
16°C 이하 <1%
17°C <1%
$19,518 거래량
$19,518 거래량
2026.06.12
16°C 이하
$749 거래량
아니오
17°C
$677 거래량
아니오
18°C
$1,047 거래량
아니오
19°C
$1,200 거래량
아니오
20°C
$1,897 거래량
아니오
21°C
$8,873 거래량
예
22°C
$1,022 거래량
아니오
23°C
$2,138 거래량
아니오
24°C
$707 거래량
아니오
25°C
$501 거래량
아니오
26°C 이상
$708 거래량
아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather models from global ensembles show strong consensus for Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on June 12 settling near 21 °C, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and limited radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance, including recent runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers, clusters tightly between 20–22 °C, aligning with historical June averages for the region and supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % implied probability on the 21 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud cover changes or localized wind shifts alter nocturnal cooling rates, though current observational trends and ensemble spread indicate low likelihood of crossing into adjacent bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
거래량
$19,518종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather models from global ensembles show strong consensus for Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on June 12 settling near 21 °C, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and limited radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance, including recent runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers, clusters tightly between 20–22 °C, aligning with historical June averages for the region and supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % implied probability on the 21 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud cover changes or localized wind shifts alter nocturnal cooling rates, though current observational trends and ensemble spread indicate low likelihood of crossing into adjacent bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$19,518종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Numerical weather models from global ensembles show strong consensus for Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on June 12 settling near 21 °C, reflecting typical early-summer subtropical conditions with moderate humidity and limited radiative cooling overnight. Official guidance, including recent runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international centers, clusters tightly between 20–22 °C, aligning with historical June averages for the region and supporting the market’s overwhelming 99.8 % implied probability on the 21 °C outcome. Minor deviations remain possible if unexpected cloud cover changes or localized wind shifts alter nocturnal cooling rates, though current observational trends and ensemble spread indicate low likelihood of crossing into adjacent bins before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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