Forecast models from European meteorological agencies converged on a 34°C daily maximum for Madrid on June 12, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies that maximize solar heating during peak insolation hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach the low 30s Celsius, and recent ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value. Official observations through midday support the outcome, with minimal convective activity expected to alter surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement, though an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a shift in northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold before evening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on June 12?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 12?
34°C 100.0%
30°C 이하 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$92,221 거래량
$92,221 거래량
2026.06.12
30°C 이하
아니오
31°C
아니오
32°C
아니오
33°C
아니오
34°C
예
35°C
아니오
36°C
아니오
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
30°C 이하 <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$92,221 거래량
$92,221 거래량
2026.06.12
30°C 이하
$609 거래량
아니오
31°C
$682 거래량
아니오
32°C
$5,655 거래량
아니오
33°C
$25,008 거래량
아니오
34°C
$33,669 거래량
예
35°C
$13,536 거래량
아니오
36°C
$8,158 거래량
아니오
37°C
$2,928 거래량
No
38°C
$700 거래량
No
39°C
$317 거래량
No
40°C or higher
$958 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological agencies converged on a 34°C daily maximum for Madrid on June 12, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies that maximize solar heating during peak insolation hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach the low 30s Celsius, and recent ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value. Official observations through midday support the outcome, with minimal convective activity expected to alter surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement, though an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a shift in northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
거래량
$92,221종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European meteorological agencies converged on a 34°C daily maximum for Madrid on June 12, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies that maximize solar heating during peak insolation hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach the low 30s Celsius, and recent ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value. Official observations through midday support the outcome, with minimal convective activity expected to alter surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement, though an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a shift in northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$92,221종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Forecast models from European meteorological agencies converged on a 34°C daily maximum for Madrid on June 12, 2026, under persistent high pressure and clear skies that maximize solar heating during peak insolation hours. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs reach the low 30s Celsius, and recent ensemble runs show minimal spread around this value. Official observations through midday support the outcome, with minimal convective activity expected to alter surface temperatures. The market's 100% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement, though an unanticipated increase in cloud cover or a shift in northerly flow could cap readings below the threshold before evening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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