Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on June 12, aligning with the early-June climatological normal of 25–27°C and driving the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Modest uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and the timing of any showers, which could slightly alter peak readings measured at official stations. Traders view this as the highest-probability resolution given current atmospheric conditions and ensemble consensus. A sudden shift toward clearer skies or delayed precipitation could push the high above 26°C, while heavier or earlier rain might cap it at 25°C or below.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 12?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 12?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$91,908 거래량
$91,908 거래량
2026.06.12
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$91,908 거래량
$91,908 거래량
2026.06.12
19°C or below
$531 거래량
No
20°C
$529 거래량
No
21°C
$1,639 거래량
No
22°C
$5,127 거래량
No
23°C
$11,428 거래량
No
24°C
$11,484 거래량
No
25°C
$18,015 거래량
No
26°C
$16,433 거래량
Yes
27°C
$11,707 거래량
No
28°C
$12,979 거래량
No
29°C or higher
$2,035 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on June 12, aligning with the early-June climatological normal of 25–27°C and driving the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Modest uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and the timing of any showers, which could slightly alter peak readings measured at official stations. Traders view this as the highest-probability resolution given current atmospheric conditions and ensemble consensus. A sudden shift toward clearer skies or delayed precipitation could push the high above 26°C, while heavier or earlier rain might cap it at 25°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$91,908종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on June 12, aligning with the early-June climatological normal of 25–27°C and driving the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Modest uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and the timing of any showers, which could slightly alter peak readings measured at official stations. Traders view this as the highest-probability resolution given current atmospheric conditions and ensemble consensus. A sudden shift toward clearer skies or delayed precipitation could push the high above 26°C, while heavier or earlier rain might cap it at 25°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$91,908종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a maximum temperature of 26°C for Tokyo on June 12, aligning with the early-June climatological normal of 25–27°C and driving the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Modest uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover and the timing of any showers, which could slightly alter peak readings measured at official stations. Traders view this as the highest-probability resolution given current atmospheric conditions and ensemble consensus. A sudden shift toward clearer skies or delayed precipitation could push the high above 26°C, while heavier or earlier rain might cap it at 25°C or below.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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