Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum air temperature of 28°C on June 10, 2026, recorded amid widespread cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly winds that limited daytime heating. These conditions aligned with model guidance showing suppressed convection and reduced solar insolation, keeping values well below the June climatological average near 31°C. The 100% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data rather than forecasts. Unlikely challenges include post-hoc data revisions at secondary stations or reclassification of the daily maximum, though such adjustments are rare given the Observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 10일 홍콩에서 가장 높은 기온?
28°C 100.0%
24°C 이하 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$344,383 거래량
$344,383 거래량
24°C 이하
아니오
25°C
아니오
26°C
아니오
27°C
아니오
28°C
예
29°C
아니오
30°C
아니오
31°C
아니오
32°C
아니오
33°C
아니오
34°C 이상
아니오
28°C 100.0%
24°C 이하 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$344,383 거래량
$344,383 거래량
24°C 이하
아니오
25°C
아니오
26°C
아니오
27°C
아니오
28°C
예
29°C
아니오
30°C
아니오
31°C
아니오
32°C
아니오
33°C
아니오
34°C 이상
아니오
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a maximum air temperature of 28°C on June 10, 2026, recorded amid widespread cloud cover, moderate rainfall, and northeasterly winds that limited daytime heating. These conditions aligned with model guidance showing suppressed convection and reduced solar insolation, keeping values well below the June climatological average near 31°C. The 100% market-implied probability for 28°C reflects this verified observational data rather than forecasts. Unlikely challenges include post-hoc data revisions at secondary stations or reclassification of the daily maximum, though such adjustments are rare given the Observatory’s standardized protocols and real-time quality controls.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문