Latest official forecasts for Shanghai on June 11, 2026, from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory project a daytime high of 33°C under overcast skies with minimal precipitation, while other models center nearer 31°C amid typical early-June plum rain conditions that increase cloud cover and humidity. These patterns historically suppress peak temperatures below late-summer levels by limiting solar heating, keeping values close to the 28–32°C climatological range for the period. Trader consensus reflected in the 70% implied probability for 31°C and 21.5% for 32°C aligns with this model agreement, though minor shifts in afternoon clearing or moisture could push the observed maximum slightly higher or lower before official China Meteorological Administration readings finalize the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 11?
31°C 70%
32°C 25%
30°C 8%
33°C 1.0%
$64,897 거래량
$64,897 거래량
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
8%
31°C
70%
32°C
25%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 70%
32°C 25%
30°C 8%
33°C 1.0%
$64,897 거래량
$64,897 거래량
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
8%
31°C
70%
32°C
25%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest official forecasts for Shanghai on June 11, 2026, from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory project a daytime high of 33°C under overcast skies with minimal precipitation, while other models center nearer 31°C amid typical early-June plum rain conditions that increase cloud cover and humidity. These patterns historically suppress peak temperatures below late-summer levels by limiting solar heating, keeping values close to the 28–32°C climatological range for the period. Trader consensus reflected in the 70% implied probability for 31°C and 21.5% for 32°C aligns with this model agreement, though minor shifts in afternoon clearing or moisture could push the observed maximum slightly higher or lower before official China Meteorological Administration readings finalize the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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