Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate persistent warm, humid air over the Northeast with limited overnight radiative cooling expected for June 12, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 74–77°F. Elevated dew points and urban heat island effects in New York City are likely to keep minimum temperatures several degrees above the June climatological average of 67°F, while subtle differences in cloud cover or wind patterns could shift the exact low between the leading bins. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs of early-summer heat, creating tight spreads that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model update.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 12일 뉴욕에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
6월 12일 뉴욕에서 가장 기온이 낮으신가요?
74-75°F 28%
76-77°F 28%
78-79°F 21%
72-73°F 17%
신규
신규
2026.06.12
61°F 이하
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
21%
80°F 이상
17%
74-75°F 28%
76-77°F 28%
78-79°F 21%
72-73°F 17%
신규
신규
2026.06.12
61°F 이하
$281 거래량
<1%
62-63°F
$219 거래량
<1%
64-65°F
$226 거래량
<1%
66-67°F
$525 거래량
1%
68-69°F
$29 거래량
1%
70-71°F
$6 거래량
2%
72-73°F
$22 거래량
10%
74-75°F
$0 거래량
28%
76-77°F
$0 거래량
28%
78-79°F
$16 거래량
21%
80°F 이상
$6 거래량
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate persistent warm, humid air over the Northeast with limited overnight radiative cooling expected for June 12, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 74–77°F. Elevated dew points and urban heat island effects in New York City are likely to keep minimum temperatures several degrees above the June climatological average of 67°F, while subtle differences in cloud cover or wind patterns could shift the exact low between the leading bins. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs of early-summer heat, creating tight spreads that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 10, 2026, 8:31 PM ET
거래량
$1,331종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 10, 2026, 8:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate persistent warm, humid air over the Northeast with limited overnight radiative cooling expected for June 12, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 74–77°F. Elevated dew points and urban heat island effects in New York City are likely to keep minimum temperatures several degrees above the June climatological average of 67°F, while subtle differences in cloud cover or wind patterns could shift the exact low between the leading bins. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs of early-summer heat, creating tight spreads that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$1,331종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 10, 2026, 8:31 PM ETRecent forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate persistent warm, humid air over the Northeast with limited overnight radiative cooling expected for June 12, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 74–77°F. Elevated dew points and urban heat island effects in New York City are likely to keep minimum temperatures several degrees above the June climatological average of 67°F, while subtle differences in cloud cover or wind patterns could shift the exact low between the leading bins. Traders appear to weigh these variables against historical analogs of early-summer heat, creating tight spreads that reflect genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model update.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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