Current ensemble forecasts place Tokyo's June 13 high near the early-summer climatological average of 25–27 °C, reflecting the moderating influence of the tsuyu rainy season's increased cloud cover and humidity. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while maintaining stable moisture profiles, keeping maxima tightly clustered. Subtle differences among 25 °C, 26 °C, and 27 °C outcomes hinge on short-term variables such as the timing of any breaks in cloud cover, local wind shifts, or minor adjustments in the subtropical ridge strength, each capable of altering peak readings by 1–2 °C according to high-resolution model runs. With no strong anomalous signals in recent guidance, market-implied odds align closely with this narrow, high-confidence band.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 13?
26°C 31%
27°C 27%
25°C 24%
28°C 12%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
24%
26°C
31%
27°C
27%
28°C
12%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 31%
27°C 27%
25°C 24%
28°C 12%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
24%
26°C
31%
27°C
27%
28°C
12%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts place Tokyo's June 13 high near the early-summer climatological average of 25–27 °C, reflecting the moderating influence of the tsuyu rainy season's increased cloud cover and humidity. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while maintaining stable moisture profiles, keeping maxima tightly clustered. Subtle differences among 25 °C, 26 °C, and 27 °C outcomes hinge on short-term variables such as the timing of any breaks in cloud cover, local wind shifts, or minor adjustments in the subtropical ridge strength, each capable of altering peak readings by 1–2 °C according to high-resolution model runs. With no strong anomalous signals in recent guidance, market-implied odds align closely with this narrow, high-confidence band.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문