Western disturbance-driven moisture and cloud cover over northwest India through June 13 are the main factors keeping Lucknow's peak temperature probabilities tightly clustered around 35–36°C. Recent IMD observations show highs near 41°C on June 10, but the ongoing wet spell is expected to increase convective activity, reduce solar heating, and limit afternoon maxima under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms. Ensemble guidance from regional models aligns with early-June climatology adjusted for this synoptic pattern, where added humidity and precipitation typically cap readings 2–4°C below clear-sky peaks. Traders weigh these dynamics against the narrow window before monsoon advancement, with official IMD daily maximums serving as the resolution benchmark; any last-minute clearing could shift outcomes higher.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 13?
35°C 34%
36°C 34%
34°C or below 20%
37°C 14%
34°C or below
20%
35°C
34%
36°C
34%
37°C
14%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
35°C 34%
36°C 34%
34°C or below 20%
37°C 14%
34°C or below
20%
35°C
34%
36°C
34%
37°C
14%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Western disturbance-driven moisture and cloud cover over northwest India through June 13 are the main factors keeping Lucknow's peak temperature probabilities tightly clustered around 35–36°C. Recent IMD observations show highs near 41°C on June 10, but the ongoing wet spell is expected to increase convective activity, reduce solar heating, and limit afternoon maxima under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms. Ensemble guidance from regional models aligns with early-June climatology adjusted for this synoptic pattern, where added humidity and precipitation typically cap readings 2–4°C below clear-sky peaks. Traders weigh these dynamics against the narrow window before monsoon advancement, with official IMD daily maximums serving as the resolution benchmark; any last-minute clearing could shift outcomes higher.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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