Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 32°C high in Shenzhen on June 11 centers on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies tracking subtropical conditions. Persistent warm, humid southerly flow combined with limited cloud cover and urban heat effects has driven daytime maxima to this exact threshold, consistent with June climatology where averages reach 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation in peak readings across official stations. Only revised post-event verification from multiple sensors or unexpected late-day cooling could alter the recorded maximum before market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 11?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 11?
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$174,793 거래량
$174,793 거래량
2026.06.11
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$174,793 거래량
$174,793 거래량
2026.06.11
24°C or below
$336 거래량
No
25°C
$531 거래량
No
26°C
$2,384 거래량
No
27°C
$2,053 거래량
No
28°C
$5,284 거래량
No
29°C
$9,197 거래량
No
30°C
$21,021 거래량
No
31°C
$66,154 거래량
No
32°C
$33,197 거래량
Yes
33°C
$21,812 거래량
No
34°C or higher
$12,824 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 32°C high in Shenzhen on June 11 centers on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies tracking subtropical conditions. Persistent warm, humid southerly flow combined with limited cloud cover and urban heat effects has driven daytime maxima to this exact threshold, consistent with June climatology where averages reach 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation in peak readings across official stations. Only revised post-event verification from multiple sensors or unexpected late-day cooling could alter the recorded maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
거래량
$174,793종료일
2026.06.11마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 12:18 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 32°C high in Shenzhen on June 11 centers on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies tracking subtropical conditions. Persistent warm, humid southerly flow combined with limited cloud cover and urban heat effects has driven daytime maxima to this exact threshold, consistent with June climatology where averages reach 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation in peak readings across official stations. Only revised post-event verification from multiple sensors or unexpected late-day cooling could alter the recorded maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$174,793종료일
2026.06.11마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 12:18 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 32°C high in Shenzhen on June 11 centers on real-time observational data and model consensus from agencies tracking subtropical conditions. Persistent warm, humid southerly flow combined with limited cloud cover and urban heat effects has driven daytime maxima to this exact threshold, consistent with June climatology where averages reach 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation in peak readings across official stations. Only revised post-event verification from multiple sensors or unexpected late-day cooling could alter the recorded maximum before market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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