El Niño conditions developing in mid-2026 and the onset of the southwest monsoon are driving trader sentiment toward 31–32 °C as the most probable daily maximum for Singapore on June 12. Official outlooks from the Meteorological Service Singapore note that these phenomena typically produce warmer, drier air masses, elevating typical June highs above the long-term 31 °C average, while scattered thundery showers and variable cloud cover can limit afternoon peaks. Recent early-June observations have already reached 34 °C on clearer days, yet persistent humidity and Sumatra squalls introduce cooling potential that narrows the distribution around the 32 °C bin. Model consensus points to modest intensification risks only if reduced cloud cover persists into the 12th, keeping lower and higher extremes at single-digit implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 12일에 싱가포르에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
32°C 41%
31°C 33%
33°C 17%
30°C 10%
$37,634 거래량
$37,634 거래량
25°C 이하
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
33%
32°C
41%
33°C
17%
34°C
2%
35°C 이상
1%
32°C 41%
31°C 33%
33°C 17%
30°C 10%
$37,634 거래량
$37,634 거래량
25°C 이하
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
33%
32°C
41%
33°C
17%
34°C
2%
35°C 이상
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
El Niño conditions developing in mid-2026 and the onset of the southwest monsoon are driving trader sentiment toward 31–32 °C as the most probable daily maximum for Singapore on June 12. Official outlooks from the Meteorological Service Singapore note that these phenomena typically produce warmer, drier air masses, elevating typical June highs above the long-term 31 °C average, while scattered thundery showers and variable cloud cover can limit afternoon peaks. Recent early-June observations have already reached 34 °C on clearer days, yet persistent humidity and Sumatra squalls introduce cooling potential that narrows the distribution around the 32 °C bin. Model consensus points to modest intensification risks only if reduced cloud cover persists into the 12th, keeping lower and higher extremes at single-digit implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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