Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a building high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, supporting peak temperatures in the low to mid-90s for Central Park on June 12, 2026, with afternoon humidity and light winds limiting further intensification. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread, with some runs favoring 92–93°F under slightly stronger onshore flow while others reach 94–96°F if subsidence strengthens. This range aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 92–97°F brackets, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical June variability where similar setups have produced 2–4°F forecast adjustments by morning. Updated runs from the 12Z cycle and any overnight observations will likely refine the final observed high before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 12일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
6월 12일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
94-95°F 32%
92-93°F 29%
96-97°F 23%
90-91°F 13%
신규
신규
2026.06.12
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
29%
94-95°F
32%
96-97°F
23%
98-99°F
6%
100°F or higher
3%
94-95°F 32%
92-93°F 29%
96-97°F 23%
90-91°F 13%
신규
신규
2026.06.12
81°F or below
$106 거래량
<1%
82-83°F
$101 거래량
<1%
84-85°F
$108 거래량
1%
86-87°F
$13 거래량
1%
88-89°F
$9 거래량
4%
90-91°F
$134 거래량
13%
92-93°F
$117 거래량
29%
94-95°F
$342 거래량
32%
96-97°F
$74 거래량
23%
98-99°F
$50 거래량
6%
100°F or higher
$418 거래량
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a building high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, supporting peak temperatures in the low to mid-90s for Central Park on June 12, 2026, with afternoon humidity and light winds limiting further intensification. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread, with some runs favoring 92–93°F under slightly stronger onshore flow while others reach 94–96°F if subsidence strengthens. This range aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 92–97°F brackets, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical June variability where similar setups have produced 2–4°F forecast adjustments by morning. Updated runs from the 12Z cycle and any overnight observations will likely refine the final observed high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
거래량
$1,313종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a building high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, supporting peak temperatures in the low to mid-90s for Central Park on June 12, 2026, with afternoon humidity and light winds limiting further intensification. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread, with some runs favoring 92–93°F under slightly stronger onshore flow while others reach 94–96°F if subsidence strengthens. This range aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 92–97°F brackets, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical June variability where similar setups have produced 2–4°F forecast adjustments by morning. Updated runs from the 12Z cycle and any overnight observations will likely refine the final observed high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$1,313종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a building high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, supporting peak temperatures in the low to mid-90s for Central Park on June 12, 2026, with afternoon humidity and light winds limiting further intensification. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread, with some runs favoring 92–93°F under slightly stronger onshore flow while others reach 94–96°F if subsidence strengthens. This range aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 92–97°F brackets, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical June variability where similar setups have produced 2–4°F forecast adjustments by morning. Updated runs from the 12Z cycle and any overnight observations will likely refine the final observed high before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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