Recent model guidance from global ensembles points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires, with afternoon temperatures most likely peaking near 16 °C under variable cloud cover and light northerly flow. The narrow spread in market-implied probabilities across 15–17 °C reflects typical short-range forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature, driven by small differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, insolation, and any weak frontal passage timing. June climatology shows average daily maxima of 15–16 °C, so current conditions sit close to seasonal norms while an emerging El Niño pattern favors slightly warmer-than-average anomalies across subtropical South America. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and next model runs will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 12일 부에노스아이레스에서 가장 높은 기온?
16°C 36%
17°C 29%
15°C 16%
18°C 10%
9°C 이하
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
16%
16°C
36%
17°C
29%
18°C
10%
19°C 이상
7%
16°C 36%
17°C 29%
15°C 16%
18°C 10%
9°C 이하
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
16%
16°C
36%
17°C
29%
18°C
10%
19°C 이상
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model guidance from global ensembles points to a mild winter day in Buenos Aires, with afternoon temperatures most likely peaking near 16 °C under variable cloud cover and light northerly flow. The narrow spread in market-implied probabilities across 15–17 °C reflects typical short-range forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature, driven by small differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, insolation, and any weak frontal passage timing. June climatology shows average daily maxima of 15–16 °C, so current conditions sit close to seasonal norms while an emerging El Niño pattern favors slightly warmer-than-average anomalies across subtropical South America. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and next model runs will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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