Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and local meteorological services indicate a daytime high near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on June 11, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 17°C (38.5%) and 16°C (26%). In the Southern Hemisphere winter, typical early-June highs average 15–16°C based on long-term climatology, with recent observations showing similar mild conditions and minimal deviation from seasonal baselines. Trader consensus, reflected in these implied probabilities, incorporates model agreement on stable atmospheric patterns without significant cold-air advection or warming influences expected before resolution. Updated forecasts and official observations tomorrow will determine the final high relative to these thresholds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 11?
17°C 39%
16°C 27%
18°C 22%
15°C 8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
8%
16°C
27%
17°C
39%
18°C
22%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 39%
16°C 27%
18°C 22%
15°C 8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
8%
16°C
27%
17°C
39%
18°C
22%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and local meteorological services indicate a daytime high near 16–17°C for Buenos Aires on June 11, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 17°C (38.5%) and 16°C (26%). In the Southern Hemisphere winter, typical early-June highs average 15–16°C based on long-term climatology, with recent observations showing similar mild conditions and minimal deviation from seasonal baselines. Trader consensus, reflected in these implied probabilities, incorporates model agreement on stable atmospheric patterns without significant cold-air advection or warming influences expected before resolution. Updated forecasts and official observations tomorrow will determine the final high relative to these thresholds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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