Trader consensus has converged on a 29°C daily maximum for Chengdu on June 12 due to real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showing peak temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under prevailing subtropical high pressure and moderate humidity. June climatology supports this range, with typical highs of 28–30°C amid the early monsoon transition, and current steering patterns limit stronger advection of warmer air masses. Official station data, which resolve the market, are expected to confirm this value barring minor calibration adjustments. Unlikely challengers include localized convective heating or station-specific microclimate effects that could push readings to 30°C or higher, though model ensembles currently assign low probability to such deviations before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 12?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$46,166 거래량
$46,166 거래량
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$46,166 거래량
$46,166 거래량
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 10, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus has converged on a 29°C daily maximum for Chengdu on June 12 due to real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showing peak temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under prevailing subtropical high pressure and moderate humidity. June climatology supports this range, with typical highs of 28–30°C amid the early monsoon transition, and current steering patterns limit stronger advection of warmer air masses. Official station data, which resolve the market, are expected to confirm this value barring minor calibration adjustments. Unlikely challengers include localized convective heating or station-specific microclimate effects that could push readings to 30°C or higher, though model ensembles currently assign low probability to such deviations before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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