Recent National Weather Service and UCLA model guidance points to a highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 12 most likely in the mid- to upper-70s Fahrenheit, with morning low clouds giving way to mostly sunny skies and light onshore flow that limits afternoon heating. This aligns with the market’s leading 74-75°F bin (39.5%) and nearby 72-73°F and 76-77°F outcomes, reflecting typical early-June climatology under neutral-to-weak El Niño conditions that modestly favor above-average warmth without extreme ridging. Updated runs show minimal model spread, keeping probabilities for 80°F-plus below 5% absent an unexpected offshore flow shift. Traders are closely watching the next NWS forecast update and any changes in marine-layer depth for final resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 12일 로스앤젤레스에서 가장 높은 기온?
74-75°F 37%
72-73°F 30%
76-77°F 17%
78-79°F 8%
69°F 이하
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
37%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86~87°F
<1%
88°F 이상
<1%
74-75°F 37%
72-73°F 30%
76-77°F 17%
78-79°F 8%
69°F 이하
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
37%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86~87°F
<1%
88°F 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 10, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and UCLA model guidance points to a highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 12 most likely in the mid- to upper-70s Fahrenheit, with morning low clouds giving way to mostly sunny skies and light onshore flow that limits afternoon heating. This aligns with the market’s leading 74-75°F bin (39.5%) and nearby 72-73°F and 76-77°F outcomes, reflecting typical early-June climatology under neutral-to-weak El Niño conditions that modestly favor above-average warmth without extreme ridging. Updated runs show minimal model spread, keeping probabilities for 80°F-plus below 5% absent an unexpected offshore flow shift. Traders are closely watching the next NWS forecast update and any changes in marine-layer depth for final resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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