The Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm a maximum temperature of 29°C on June 11, 2026, aligning with model consensus under prevailing subtropical ridge conditions that limited daytime heating despite the broader seasonal outlook for above-normal warmth driven by long-term climate trends and ENSO influences. Surface observations, including 2 p.m. readings near 25–28°C at key stations and soil temperatures around 28.5°C, reflect typical June humidity and light winds that moderated peaks below the 30–32°C range seen earlier in the month. With resolution now complete, the 100% market-implied odds reflect verified data rather than forecast uncertainty. Only an unlikely post-publication revision to the official record or a change in measurement protocols could alter the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$285,499 거래량
$285,499 거래량
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$285,499 거래량
$285,499 거래량
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm a maximum temperature of 29°C on June 11, 2026, aligning with model consensus under prevailing subtropical ridge conditions that limited daytime heating despite the broader seasonal outlook for above-normal warmth driven by long-term climate trends and ENSO influences. Surface observations, including 2 p.m. readings near 25–28°C at key stations and soil temperatures around 28.5°C, reflect typical June humidity and light winds that moderated peaks below the 30–32°C range seen earlier in the month. With resolution now complete, the 100% market-implied odds reflect verified data rather than forecast uncertainty. Only an unlikely post-publication revision to the official record or a change in measurement protocols could alter the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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