Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Beijing's June 11 high likely reaching 31–32°C under typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This consensus drives the near-even market-implied odds between those two outcomes, as small differences in daytime cloud cover, urban heat-island amplification, or afternoon convection could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical June averages near 30–32°C provide context, while model spread remains modest given stable large-scale patterns; final readings from official stations will resolve the market once verified.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Beijing on June 11?
31°C 41%
32°C 37%
33°C 14%
30°C 10%
$45,112 거래량
$45,112 거래량
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
41%
32°C
37%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 41%
32°C 37%
33°C 14%
30°C 10%
$45,112 거래량
$45,112 거래량
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
41%
32°C
37%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Beijing's June 11 high likely reaching 31–32°C under typical early-summer conditions with moderate humidity and light winds. This consensus drives the near-even market-implied odds between those two outcomes, as small differences in daytime cloud cover, urban heat-island amplification, or afternoon convection could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical June averages near 30–32°C provide context, while model spread remains modest given stable large-scale patterns; final readings from official stations will resolve the market once verified.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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