Current forecasts from multiple models place Beijing’s June 12 maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering at those outcomes. Early-summer radiative heating under a building subtropical high, combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover, supports gradual warming from today’s observed 31–32 °C peak. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing and coverage of any diurnal convection, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification; slight increases in low-level moisture or afternoon thunderstorms could cap the high at 32–33 °C, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor 35 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, keeping lower-probability tails (≤32 °C or ≥36 °C) well below 15 % implied odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 12일 베이징에서 가장 높은 기온?
6월 12일 베이징에서 가장 높은 기온?
34°C 31%
33°C 28%
35°C 14.3%
32°C 12%
신규
$10,401 거래량
신규
$10,401 거래량
2026.06.12
29°C 이하
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
12%
33°C
28%
34°C
31%
35°C
14%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C 이상
<1%
34°C 31%
33°C 28%
35°C 14.3%
32°C 12%
신규
$10,401 거래량
신규
$10,401 거래량
2026.06.12
29°C 이하
$1,219 거래량
1%
30°C
$737 거래량
1%
31°C
$539 거래량
5%
32°C
$589 거래량
12%
33°C
$1,024 거래량
28%
34°C
$1,077 거래량
31%
35°C
$1,479 거래량
14%
36°C
$1,494 거래량
5%
37°C
$605 거래량
2%
38°C
$632 거래량
1%
39°C 이상
$1,111 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Beijing’s June 12 maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering at those outcomes. Early-summer radiative heating under a building subtropical high, combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover, supports gradual warming from today’s observed 31–32 °C peak. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing and coverage of any diurnal convection, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification; slight increases in low-level moisture or afternoon thunderstorms could cap the high at 32–33 °C, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor 35 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, keeping lower-probability tails (≤32 °C or ≥36 °C) well below 15 % implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$10,401종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Beijing’s June 12 maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering at those outcomes. Early-summer radiative heating under a building subtropical high, combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover, supports gradual warming from today’s observed 31–32 °C peak. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing and coverage of any diurnal convection, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification; slight increases in low-level moisture or afternoon thunderstorms could cap the high at 32–33 °C, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor 35 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, keeping lower-probability tails (≤32 °C or ≥36 °C) well below 15 % implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$10,401종료일
2026.06.12마켓 개설일
Jun 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models place Beijing’s June 12 maximum near 33–34 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering at those outcomes. Early-summer radiative heating under a building subtropical high, combined with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover, supports gradual warming from today’s observed 31–32 °C peak. Key differentiating variables include the precise timing and coverage of any diurnal convection, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification; slight increases in low-level moisture or afternoon thunderstorms could cap the high at 32–33 °C, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor 35 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, keeping lower-probability tails (≤32 °C or ≥36 °C) well below 15 % implied odds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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