Traders see the highest implied probability on a Shanghai low of 25°C or above for June 13 because recent model guidance points to partly cloudy skies and moderating humidity that could limit overnight cooling. Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project nighttime lows near 21–22°C amid typical early-summer conditions, yet the spread across 22–24°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover, wind patterns, and any late-arriving showers during the plum-rain transition period. Historical mid-June averages hover around 20–22°C, so deviations depend on short-term atmospheric shifts that updated runs will clarify before market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 13일 상하이에서 최저 기온?
6월 13일 상하이에서 최저 기온?
22°C 26%
23°C 23%
24°C 20%
25°C 이상 19%
신규
신규
2026.06.13
15°C 이하
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
13%
18°C
8%
19°C
11%
20°C
16%
21°C
19%
22°C
26%
23°C
23%
24°C
20%
25°C 이상
19%
22°C 26%
23°C 23%
24°C 20%
25°C 이상 19%
신규
신규
2026.06.13
15°C 이하
$104 거래량
1%
16°C
$27 거래량
1%
17°C
$20 거래량
13%
18°C
$37 거래량
8%
19°C
$33 거래량
11%
20°C
$0 거래량
16%
21°C
$0 거래량
19%
22°C
$0 거래량
26%
23°C
$0 거래량
23%
24°C
$0 거래량
20%
25°C 이상
$0 거래량
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest implied probability on a Shanghai low of 25°C or above for June 13 because recent model guidance points to partly cloudy skies and moderating humidity that could limit overnight cooling. Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project nighttime lows near 21–22°C amid typical early-summer conditions, yet the spread across 22–24°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover, wind patterns, and any late-arriving showers during the plum-rain transition period. Historical mid-June averages hover around 20–22°C, so deviations depend on short-term atmospheric shifts that updated runs will clarify before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
거래량
$211종료일
2026.06.13마켓 개설일
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest implied probability on a Shanghai low of 25°C or above for June 13 because recent model guidance points to partly cloudy skies and moderating humidity that could limit overnight cooling. Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project nighttime lows near 21–22°C amid typical early-summer conditions, yet the spread across 22–24°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover, wind patterns, and any late-arriving showers during the plum-rain transition period. Historical mid-June averages hover around 20–22°C, so deviations depend on short-term atmospheric shifts that updated runs will clarify before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$211종료일
2026.06.13마켓 개설일
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETTraders see the highest implied probability on a Shanghai low of 25°C or above for June 13 because recent model guidance points to partly cloudy skies and moderating humidity that could limit overnight cooling. Official forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project nighttime lows near 21–22°C amid typical early-summer conditions, yet the spread across 22–24°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover, wind patterns, and any late-arriving showers during the plum-rain transition period. Historical mid-June averages hover around 20–22°C, so deviations depend on short-term atmospheric shifts that updated runs will clarify before market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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