Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency establish a 26°C maximum for Tokyo on June 11, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, consistent with early June climatology for the Kanto region and daily normals near 25.8°C, underpin this outlook, with recent model runs showing limited variability in daytime highs. Traders view the official guidance as highly reliable given the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-term temperature forecasts. Only substantial deviations in actual station measurements, such as localized urban heat effects or unexpected frontal shifts, could realistically shift the recorded high away from 26°C before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 11?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 11?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$128,298 거래량
$128,298 거래량
2026.06.11
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$128,298 거래량
$128,298 거래량
2026.06.11
19°C or below
$623 거래량
No
20°C
$712 거래량
No
21°C
$1,772 거래량
No
22°C
$12,165 거래량
No
23°C
$10,994 거래량
No
24°C
$16,393 거래량
No
25°C
$15,969 거래량
No
26°C
$21,278 거래량
Yes
27°C
$17,840 거래량
No
28°C
$19,592 거래량
No
29°C or higher
$10,959 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency establish a 26°C maximum for Tokyo on June 11, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, consistent with early June climatology for the Kanto region and daily normals near 25.8°C, underpin this outlook, with recent model runs showing limited variability in daytime highs. Traders view the official guidance as highly reliable given the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-term temperature forecasts. Only substantial deviations in actual station measurements, such as localized urban heat effects or unexpected frontal shifts, could realistically shift the recorded high away from 26°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
거래량
$128,298종료일
2026.06.11마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 12:26 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency establish a 26°C maximum for Tokyo on June 11, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, consistent with early June climatology for the Kanto region and daily normals near 25.8°C, underpin this outlook, with recent model runs showing limited variability in daytime highs. Traders view the official guidance as highly reliable given the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-term temperature forecasts. Only substantial deviations in actual station measurements, such as localized urban heat effects or unexpected frontal shifts, could realistically shift the recorded high away from 26°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$128,298종료일
2026.06.11마켓 개설일
Jun 9, 2026, 12:26 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency establish a 26°C maximum for Tokyo on June 11, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability. Stable atmospheric conditions, consistent with early June climatology for the Kanto region and daily normals near 25.8°C, underpin this outlook, with recent model runs showing limited variability in daytime highs. Traders view the official guidance as highly reliable given the narrow uncertainty range typical for short-term temperature forecasts. Only substantial deviations in actual station measurements, such as localized urban heat effects or unexpected frontal shifts, could realistically shift the recorded high away from 26°C before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문