Recent atmospheric patterns, including a sharp temperature drop from a passing cold front and associated rainfall on June 10, have positioned Warsaw for a cooler-than-average June 11 with persistent overcast skies and light rain. Official forecasts from sources such as the BBC and timeanddate.com converge on a daytime high of 16–17 °C, well below the monthly climatological average near 22 °C. This data drives the market’s strongest implied probabilities toward 17 °C (47 %) and the adjacent 16 °C and 18 °C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of limited daytime warming under cloudy, breezy conditions. Updated model runs and surface observations through early June 11 continue to support this narrow temperature range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 11일 바르샤바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
17°C 47%
18°C 25%
16°C 23%
15°C 6%
$25,113 거래량
$25,113 거래량
12°C 이하
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
23%
17°C
47%
18°C
25%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C 이상
<1%
17°C 47%
18°C 25%
16°C 23%
15°C 6%
$25,113 거래량
$25,113 거래량
12°C 이하
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
23%
17°C
47%
18°C
25%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent atmospheric patterns, including a sharp temperature drop from a passing cold front and associated rainfall on June 10, have positioned Warsaw for a cooler-than-average June 11 with persistent overcast skies and light rain. Official forecasts from sources such as the BBC and timeanddate.com converge on a daytime high of 16–17 °C, well below the monthly climatological average near 22 °C. This data drives the market’s strongest implied probabilities toward 17 °C (47 %) and the adjacent 16 °C and 18 °C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of limited daytime warming under cloudy, breezy conditions. Updated model runs and surface observations through early June 11 continue to support this narrow temperature range ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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