Latest forecasts place Shanghai’s June 12 maximum near 31 °C, reflecting a balance between subtropical high pressure favoring daytime heating and lingering moisture from the East Asian monsoon that can limit afternoon peaks. Typical early-June climatology shows highs of 27–30 °C, but recent model runs indicate modest warming from clearer intervals or reduced rainfall, keeping 30–32 °C outcomes tightly clustered in trader sentiment. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of any showers, boundary-layer humidity, and local urban heat effects that can add 1–2 °C to official readings. New model updates and evening observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau will refine resolution criteria before final data lock.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 12일 상하이에서 가장 높은 기온?
31°C 33%
30°C 28%
32°C 22%
29°C 9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
28%
31°C
33%
32°C
22%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 33%
30°C 28%
32°C 22%
29°C 9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
28%
31°C
33%
32°C
22%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecasts place Shanghai’s June 12 maximum near 31 °C, reflecting a balance between subtropical high pressure favoring daytime heating and lingering moisture from the East Asian monsoon that can limit afternoon peaks. Typical early-June climatology shows highs of 27–30 °C, but recent model runs indicate modest warming from clearer intervals or reduced rainfall, keeping 30–32 °C outcomes tightly clustered in trader sentiment. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of any showers, boundary-layer humidity, and local urban heat effects that can add 1–2 °C to official readings. New model updates and evening observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau will refine resolution criteria before final data lock.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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