Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures around 20–22°C for São Paulo on June 11, driven by a passing cold front that introduces cooler, moist air and scattered rainfall, limiting daytime warming. This winter pattern aligns with climatological averages near 21°C but features model spread from subtle differences in frontal timing and cloud cover, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities for 20°C and 21°C outcomes. Official guidance from sources such as the National Institute of Meteorology highlights typical June variability in the region, with any shift in steering winds or precipitation timing capable of nudging the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 11일 상파울루에서 가장 높은 온도는?
21°C 34%
20°C 34%
22°C 18%
19°C 13%
15°C 이하
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
13%
20°C
34%
21°C
34%
22°C
18%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C 이상
<1%
21°C 34%
20°C 34%
22°C 18%
19°C 13%
15°C 이하
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
13%
20°C
34%
21°C
34%
22°C
18%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures around 20–22°C for São Paulo on June 11, driven by a passing cold front that introduces cooler, moist air and scattered rainfall, limiting daytime warming. This winter pattern aligns with climatological averages near 21°C but features model spread from subtle differences in frontal timing and cloud cover, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities for 20°C and 21°C outcomes. Official guidance from sources such as the National Institute of Meteorology highlights typical June variability in the region, with any shift in steering winds or precipitation timing capable of nudging the daily high by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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