National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport, the official Polymarket resolution station for New York City, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on June 9 under partly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow. This aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome and sits near the early-June climatological average high of roughly 79°F. Model consensus from NOAA and private forecasters had converged on this narrow range in the final 24–48 hours, with minimal spread across guidance. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the official reading or a station-specific discrepancy exceeding the two-degree band, both of which are rare once preliminary data are verified.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 9일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
6월 9일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F 이하 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74~75°F <1%
$127,806 거래량
$127,806 거래량
2026.06.09
71°F 이하
아니오
72-73°F
아니오
74~75°F
아니오
76-77°F
아니오
78-79°F
아니오
80-81°F
예
82-83°F
아니오
84-85°F
아니오
86-87°F
아니오
88-89°F
아니오
90°F 이상
아니오
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F 이하 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74~75°F <1%
$127,806 거래량
$127,806 거래량
2026.06.09
71°F 이하
$898 거래량
아니오
72-73°F
$1,461 거래량
아니오
74~75°F
$3,315 거래량
아니오
76-77°F
$19,269 거래량
아니오
78-79°F
$46,315 거래량
아니오
80-81°F
$21,530 거래량
예
82-83°F
$15,571 거래량
아니오
84-85°F
$12,169 거래량
아니오
86-87°F
$4,369 거래량
아니오
88-89°F
$2,026 거래량
아니오
90°F 이상
$884 거래량
아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport, the official Polymarket resolution station for New York City, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on June 9 under partly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow. This aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome and sits near the early-June climatological average high of roughly 79°F. Model consensus from NOAA and private forecasters had converged on this narrow range in the final 24–48 hours, with minimal spread across guidance. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the official reading or a station-specific discrepancy exceeding the two-degree band, both of which are rare once preliminary data are verified.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
거래량
$127,806종료일
2026.06.09마켓 개설일
Jun 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport, the official Polymarket resolution station for New York City, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on June 9 under partly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow. This aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome and sits near the early-June climatological average high of roughly 79°F. Model consensus from NOAA and private forecasters had converged on this narrow range in the final 24–48 hours, with minimal spread across guidance. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the official reading or a station-specific discrepancy exceeding the two-degree band, both of which are rare once preliminary data are verified.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$127,806종료일
2026.06.09마켓 개설일
Jun 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ET결과 제안됨: 아니오
이의 없음
최종 결과: 아니오
National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport, the official Polymarket resolution station for New York City, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on June 9 under partly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow. This aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome and sits near the early-June climatological average high of roughly 79°F. Model consensus from NOAA and private forecasters had converged on this narrow range in the final 24–48 hours, with minimal spread across guidance. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the official reading or a station-specific discrepancy exceeding the two-degree band, both of which are rare once preliminary data are verified.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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