Recent short-range forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and global models, indicate a daily maximum of 24–25°C in Qingdao on September 29 under multi-cloudy skies with southerly winds of 3–4 levels. This reflects typical late-September climatology, where highs decline from August peaks near 28–29°C amid seasonal cooling and moderating sea breezes from the Yellow Sea. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime heating, while model consensus shows limited variability and no significant warm advection. Market-implied odds favoring 27°C or 28°C likely incorporate uncertainty in final official readings or slight upward revisions possible in updated runs, though probabilities below 26°C remain supported by the current stable pattern.