**Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a daytime high of 60–63°F for San Francisco on October 10 under sunny to partly cloudy skies and persistent west-to-southwest winds of 10–20 mph.** These onshore flows maintain a strong marine influence, limiting afternoon warming well below the late-October climatological average of ~71°F. Recent forecast updates have shown little change, with stable model runs reinforcing the cool regime and low precipitation chances. Trader positioning reflects this consensus, concentrating implied probability on the 62–63°F and 64–65°F bins while assigning minimal weight to outcomes above 66°F or below 60°F. The market will resolve on official observations once the calendar day ends.